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              China Macro-economy

              Foreign institutions optimistic about China's economy, expecting strong rebound in H2

              February 17, 2020


              Abstract : Foreign institutions are optimistic about China's economic outlook and believe that some industries will be affected by the epidemic in the short term, but resilience of its economy remains solid and a strong rebound will be expected in the second half of the year.

              BEIJING, Feb. 17 (Xinhua) -- Foreign institutions are optimistic about China's economic outlook and believe that some industries will be affected by the epidemic of novel coronavirus pneumonia (NCP) in the short term, but resilience of its economy remains solid and a strong rebound will be expected in the second half of the year.

              Citibank believes that China's resumption of work and production is now underway. If the epidemic is effectively controlled, industrial activities will rebound in the second quarter. With the support of more government policies, the Chinese economy is expected to see a strong rebound in the second half of the year.

              "The epidemic has not changed the overall recovery of China's economy in 2020. China's economic activity and related industries will be affected in the first quarter, and then it may have a V-shape recovery", said Ruan Weiguo, an investment director of Invesco.

              Charlie Thomas Munger, Warren Buffett's long-term business partner, has also recently stated publicly that he has not wavered in his long-term optimistic stance on Chinese enterprises and the Chinese economy.

              Given that China's economy is still more resilient, we believe that A-share investment opportunities are greater," said Wu Jingjing, head of investment strategy at Citibank (China).

              Meanwhile, the institutions are generally optimistic about the pharmaceutical and Internet technology sectors and companies in the A-share market.

              Citibank said it is optimistic about companies with Internet factors in the software, e-commerce and entertainment sectors.

              "Once the epidemic eases, given China's high Internet penetration, recovery in these sectors may be faster," according to Citibank.

              Fidelity International believes that although the epidemic may cause frustration in the short-term demand in the technology industry, the structural growth trend of the technology industry is irreversible, thanks to the booming data market. Companies in the cloud data industry chain will benefit.

              Given that China's 5G development will enter a stage of promotion in an all-round manner, Fidelity International said that it is very optimistic about related companies in China's 5G technology construction and application industry chain. (Edited by Hu Pingchao, [email protected])

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              Keyword: China economy

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